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The Dow’s 4% yesterday brings this year’s losses to 25%, just a bear’s hot breath away from the 33% slump the Dow suffered through all of 2008. The old lady finished closed the day at 6,594, a fresh 12-year low… and right in line with our initial forecast.

From its peak, that’s a 53% decline. As much as the media have worn out the phrase “The worst since the Great Depression” now it’s true:

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